The analysis of bullwhip effect in a HMMS-type supply chain
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
The analysis of bullwhip effect in a HMMS-type supply chain
The aim of the paper is to investigate the well-known bullwhip effect of supply chains. Control theoretic analysis of bullwhip effect is extensively analyzed in the literature with the Laplace transform. This paper tries to examine the effect for an extended Holt–Modigliani–Muth–Simon model. A two-stage supply chain (supplier–manufacturer) is studied with quadratic costs functional. It is assum...
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In a supply chain the variability of the orders received by the supplier can be greater than the demand variability. This phenomenon is named bullwhip effect. Some researchers are quantified the bullwhip by measuring the differences between observed variances in the different stages of the supply chain. The bullwhip effect refers to the phenomenon of amplification and distortion of demand in a ...
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In this paper, we present a new predictive hybrid model using discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and the artificial neural network (ANN) to reduce the bullwhip effect of demand in supply chain to obtain a real amount of final customer demand. Also, we compare our result with more comprehensive sample of previous research to extend the scope of our study. In this new research our methodology is c...
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This paper introduces the confidence interval estimate for measuring the bullwhip effect, which has been observed across most industries. Calculating a confidence interval usually needs the assumption about the underlying distribution. Bootstrapping is a non-parametric, but computer intensive, estimation method. In this paper, a simulation study on the behavior of the 95% bootstrap confidence i...
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On the basis of the AR(1) stochastic process model for consumer demand which was introduced by Professor H.L.Lee, qualified and simulation model of bullwhip effect are established when order-up-to inventory policy is employed, which investigate demand variability caused by forecasting technology, such as moving average (MA) method, exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) method or mean squ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Production Economics
سال: 2011
ISSN: 0925-5273
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.11.021